Netflix vs. Blockbuster ▼ The proactive leap versus the refusal
The Vibe Cycle
“The best companies leap before they have to. Blockbuster refused — right up until there was nothing left to refuse with.”
IBM ▼ Two leaps, sixty years apart
The Vibe Cycle
“A company that leaps once can leap again — if the discipline survives the founders.”
Jack Stack & SRC Holdings ▼ Open-Book Management — the Great Game of Business
The Vibe Cycle Build
“Teach every employee to read the numbers and the numbers change.”
Cursor ▼ The AI-native fast launch
The Vibe Cycle
“In the AI era, the Launch phase can compress from years to months.”
Mercor ▼ Hiring as the product
Charting Your Harbors Human Capital
“In the AI era, the scarce resource is the right humans.”
Athletic Brewing ▼ Own the constrained beachhead
Charting Your Harbors Acquisition
“Pick the niche everyone else dismisses, then own every harbor inside it.”
Stanley ▼ A 110-year-old brand catches a wave
Charting Your Harbors Acquisition
“A 10-rated Acquisition harbor pulls customers in unbidden.”
SpaceX ▼ The infrastructure moat
Charting Your Harbors Build
“When the product is the moat, competitors can see everything you do and still not catch you.”
Costco ▼ Operations as the strategy
Charting Your Harbors Operations
“A 10-rated Operations harbor isn’t a cost center. It is the moat.”
Bench Accounting ▼ One weak harbor sinks the ship
Charting Your Harbors Human Capital Operations
“Ask of every critical vendor: if they disappear tomorrow, what do we do on Tuesday?”
Trupanion ▼ Retention as the entire business model
Charting Your Harbors Retention Build
“Re-engineer the product around the single most common reason customers leave.”
Blue Apron ▼ The churn machine
Retention
“Acquisition spend means nothing poured into a leaking hull.”
Groupon ▼ Market and Customer are different harbors
Charting Your Harbors Retention
“Acquisition is where you fish. Retention is what you do with the fish you’ve caught.”
Builder.ai ▼ "The AI" was 700 engineers
Human Capital
“You can’t fake a Talent harbor — or a product — forever.”
ERIN (referral platforms) ▼ The sourcing math of referrals
Human Capital
“Your best sourcing channel is usually the crew you already have.”
Workday (Mobley v. Workday) ▼ You can’t outsource sourcing discipline
Human Capital
“AI screening is your hiring decision, legally and ethically — vendor or not.”
Progress Software — Amplify ▼ Performance management people actually use
Human Capital
“A named, structured internal-growth program beats an annual review form.”
Chewy ▼ Onboarding, redesigned like a product
Human Capital The Prospect Chart
“The first thirty days set the trajectory — for employees and customers alike.”
Adobe ▼ Killing the annual review
Human Capital
“Feedback cadence beats feedback ceremony.”
Buc-ee’s · Buffer · Costco ▼ Compensation transparency, three ways
Human Capital
“Posted, defensible pay is a sourcing weapon and a retention keel.”
Moxion Power ▼ The founder-hope comp collapse
Human Capital
“Equity stories are not a compensation system.”
Container Store · Sweetgreen ▼ Training as the moat
Human Capital
“"1 great person = 3 good people" only works if you build the great ones.”
Netflix culture memo · Buffer handbook ▼ Culture as a living document
Human Capital
“Write the unwritten rules down — then keep revising them in public.”
Bolt ▼ Culture changed by tweet
Human Capital
“A culture that reverses by announcement was never a culture.”
Kent Elastomer · Gallup Q12 ▼ Stay interviews and the engagement math
Human Capital
“Ask people why they stay before they tell you why they left.”
Grindr ▼ The RTO mandate that emptied the ship
Human Capital
“A policy designed to make people quit will work.”
Chick-fil-A ▼ The leadership pipeline behind the drive-thru
Human Capital Operations
“Leadership development is a franchise moat you can’t see from the parking lot.”
23andMe ▼ The sole-board-member bottleneck
Human Capital
“Leadership depth of one is a single point of failure at any scale.”
Anthropic (the 9–10 triangulation) ▼ What a 9–10 Human Capital harbor looks like
Human Capital
“The best people turn down the biggest paychecks to be aboard the right crew. That’s the move you can’t pay for.”
Liquid Death ▼ Winning on Acquisition over a commodity
Acquisition
“When the product is water, the harbor you win is the market’s attention.”
Poppi & Olipop ▼ Pepsi paid $2B for the harbor it couldn’t dredge
Acquisition
“Giants buy the harbors they fail to build.”
Toast ▼ A decade of no
Build
“Focus is what the profit inflection finally prices in.”
Anduril ▼ The IP is the system, not the parts
Build
“Commodity components, proprietary integration — that’s a moat you can build in a garage.”
Buffalo Trace ▼ Time doesn’t accept a wire transfer
Build
“Some moats are measured in years no competitor can skip.”
TOM BIHN ▼ Defending the moat by staying home
Build
“Sometimes the Build decision is where you refuse to move the factory.”
Raising Cane’s ▼ One menu, run perfectly
Operations
“A tiny menu is an operating discipline wearing a brand.”
Duolingo ▼ Dredging with AI — and the paradox
Dredging
“AI can deepen the product channel and spook the market in the same quarter.”
Intercom (Fin) ▼ Re-dredging the whole business model
Dredging
“When AI resolves the ticket, you charge for the resolution — not the seat.”
Xerox PARC ▼ The value that walked out the door
The Navigation Officer
“Inventing the future means nothing if the bridge ignores the instruments.”
The agent economy (projections) ▼ Levels 7–10 are not science fiction
The Navigation Officer
“The water is opening fast. Plan for the levels above you.”
HubSpot ▼ Educate the market before you sell to it
The Prospect Chart Retention
“Teach the problem and you own the buyer who finally feels it.”
CarMax ▼ Removing the pain IS the position
The Prospect Chart
“Find the step every buyer hates and delete it.”
Salesforce ▼ Trailhead — educating an ecosystem
The Prospect Chart
“Train the market’s workforce and the market hires you.”
Warby Parker ▼ Redrawing the chart of a captive market
The Prospect Chart
“A monopoly’s pricing is a map of your opportunity.”
Chegg ▼ The Product Trap, at AI speed
The Product Trap
“The trap doesn’t care how good your product was last year.”
Shopify ▼ Escaping the trap by widening the job
The Product Trap
“Sell the outcome, and the product can keep changing underneath it.”
NVIDIA ▼ Eighteen years dredging the CUDA channel
Blue Water
“Blue water is earned in the years nobody’s watching.”
Klarna ▼ The AI-support reversal
Blue Water
“Automate the channel, keep the harbor human.”
Robo-taxis vs. Uber & Lyft ▼ A live Passage, happening now
Charting Your Harbors
“Watch a transformation contested in real time — nobody knows the ending yet.”
More files dock here as the books head to print — the fast-moving numbers live on this page precisely so the books never go stale. Spot something outdated? Tell Bill .